Statistics 311

Fall 2006

120 Ingraham Hall

8:00-9:15 Tues-Thurs

 

Tom Kurtz                                                       

Jun Zhang

525 Van Vleck                                    

1270 Medical Sciences Center

263-5563                                            

262-3230

kurtz@math.wisc.edu                                      

jzhang@stat.wisc.edu

http://math.wisc.edu/~kurtz/

 

                                               

Office hours:

Kurtz

Fri 11:00 or by appointment

 

 

Zhang

 

 

           

 FINAL EXAMINATION: 10:05 AM, Saturday, December 23, 22 Ingrahm Hall

 

Sep

 5

T

Introduction        

6th Edition p53 Prb: 3, 8, 11  ThEx: 6, 7, 12

7th Edition p55 Prb: 3, 8, 11  ThEx: 6, 7, 12

     Calculus Review Problems

 

 7

R

Model of an experiment 2.1-4   

  

2

12

T

Discrete sample spaces 2.5, 1.1-3 

6th Edition  Chap 2: Prb 1, 5, 17, 23, 33, 36, 41 Th Ex:  11

7th Edition  Chap 2: Prb 1, 5, 17, 23, 33, 36, 41 Th Ex:  11

 

14

R

Discrete sample spaces 1.4-5 

 

3

19*

T

Conditional probability and Bayes formula 3.1-3 

6th Edition Ch2 Prb # 27,  37   Ch3 Prb #2, 8, 19, 46, 57, 62(a)

7th Edition Ch2 Prb # 27,  37   Ch3 Prb #2, 8, 13, 50, 61, 66(a)

 

21

R

Conditional probability, independence 3.4,5 

Handout on additive and multiplicative rules

4

26

T

Random variables 4.1-2 

6th Edition  Ch3  Prb #54, 66

6th Edition  Ch4  Prb  #1, 4, 20, 21, 29

7th Edition  Ch3  Prb #58, 70

7th Edition  Ch4  Prb  #1, 4, 20, 21, 29

 

28

R

QUIZ (60 pts)   B239 Van Vleck

Practice Problems      Solutions

Quiz solutions

Oct

 3

T

Expectation and variance 4.3-5

Both Editions  Ch4 Prb  #26, 32, 40, 42, 43

 

 5

R

Bernoulli trials 4.6, 4.8.1 

 

6

10*

T

Continuous distributions 5.1-3

Both Editions  Ch5 Prb  #2, 4, 5, 11, 13, 31

 

12

R

Continuous distributions, hazard rates 5.5-6 

 

7

17

T

Functions of random variables 5.7

Both Editions  Ch5 Prb  #39, 40, 41  (due Tuesday, Oct 24)

 

19

R

Joint distributions 6.1-2 

Both Editions

Ch 6 Prb #1, 2, 8, 9  (due Tuesday, Oct 24)

Ch 6 Prb #14, 27, 28 (due Thursday, November 2)

8

24

T

Problems and examples

 

 

26

R

EXAM (100 pts)    B239 Van Vleck

 List of topics    Sample exam     Solutions

 Old exam

9

31

T

Sequences and sums of independent random variables 6.3 

Indicator variable problems

Nov

 2

R

Conditional distributions 6.4-5 

Ch6 Prb #24, 29, 39, 42, 43

Handout 1,2,3

MINIQUIZ

10

 7

T

Expectations 7.1-2  

Both Editions

Ch 7  Prb:  #3, 6, 21, 42, 44, 45

 

 9

R

Variances, covariances, and linear approximation 7.3 (6th ed)  7.4 (7th ed)

MINIQUIZ

11

14*

T

Law of large numbers and parameter estimation 8.1-2

Families of distributions

 

16

R

Normal distribution and the central limit theorem 5.4, 7.7(6th),7.8(7th), 8.3

Practice:  Ch5 (Both editions)  Prb #15, 18, 19

Hand in:  Ch8 (Both editions)  Prb  #4, 5, 6, 7,  14

 MINIQUIZ

12

21

T

Applications of the central limit theorem

CLT Problems   Continuity correction   Problem assignment

 

23

R

THANKSGIVING 

 

13

28

T

Problems and examples 

Sample quiz    Sample quiz solutions     Old Quiz with solutions

Ignore problems on the Poisson process

 

30

R

QUIZ (60 pts)     B239 Van Vleck

Solutions

14

 5

T

Poisson process 4.7, 9.1 

Practice:    Ch 4  (Both editions)  Prb:  58, 59, 61   

Hand in:  Ch 4  (Both editions)  Prb:  64  Ch 9 ThEx/Prb:  1, 2  

Poisson Handout     Prb  #2, 3, 6

 

 7

R

Poisson process  

 

15

12

T

Review  MINIQUIZ (10 pts) 

Solution of miniquiz

 

14

R

Problems and examples 

 

 

23

S

Final Exam

  List of Topics    Sample Exam    Solutions

 

 

FINAL EXAMINATION (150 pts) 10:05 AM, Saturday, December 23, 22 Ingrahm Hall

 

DISCUSSION AND HOMEWORK (100 pts)

 

TOTAL POINTS 480

 

Textbook:  A First Course in Probability, 6th or 7th Edition, by Sheldon Ross